After appreciating over 110 paise on Friday due to stimulus measure announced
by US government coupled with diesel price hike, the rupee is likely to trade
between 54.30-54.80 to the dollar this week, say experts.
The domestic currency jumped 113 paise to close at a two-and-half month high of
54.30 on back of capital inflows worth Rs 2,800 crore and heavy dollar selling
by exporters and some banks, after the third round quantitative easing measures
(QE3) announced by the US central bank on Thursday.
"The rupee movement on Friday was due to announcement of the QE3 by the Fed,
which saw dollar sales by foreign banks along with some capital inflows.
However, the market will now actually wait to see the kind of inflows coming in
the coming days before any significant upward movement," IDBI Bank treasury head
NS Venkatesh told PTI here.
The rupee is likely to trade in the 54.30-54.80 range this week before any
significant appreciation, he said.
On the policy measures taken up in government economy, Venkatesh said they would
definitely help boost the sentiment.
Last Friday, the Centre allowed 51 percent FDI in retail and foreign airlines to
hold 49 percent stake in domestic carriers. It also gave green signal for
disinvestment in four public sector enterprises and allowed FDI in power
exchanges and non-news related broadcast services.
A day earlier, it had also raised diesel price by a hefty 12 percent and put
restrictions on the number of subsidised LPG cylinders used for domestic use.
India Forex Advisors chief executive Abhishek Goenka said the rupee may see
53.50-54 level to the dollar in the future on the back of Fed announcement of
stimulus measures.
"We could see rupee appreciating to 53.50-54 levels as the risk appetite has
again taken the command over the global market," he said.
However, concerns over domestic economy remains and reduction in deficit would
be crucial for rupee, he said.
Another rupee-watcher said the currency movement will also be dependent on what
the RBI does on Monday when it will unveil its mid-quarter review of the
monetary policy.
Emerging story. Watch this space for updates as more details come in
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